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AI-Powered OSINT Tools in 2025 | How Artificial Intelligence is Transforming Open-Source Intelligence Gathering

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The rise of AI-powered OSINT tools in 2025 has revolutionized the way intelligence professionals, cybersecurity experts, and law enforcement agencies collect and analyze open-source data. AI-driven OSINT tools can automate reconnaissance, analyze large datasets, and detect hidden patterns, making intelligence gathering faster and more efficient. From social media tracking and deepfake detection to NLP-based data analysis and machine learning-driven threat detection, AI enhances the accuracy and effectiveness of OSINT investigations. However, ethical concerns, misinformation risks, and AI model limitations remain challenges. This blog explores the best AI tools for OSINT in 2025, their benefits, challenges, and future trends in intelligence gathering.

Table of Contents

Introduction

In 2025, Open-Source Intelligence (OSINT) remains a vital tool for cybersecurity, threat intelligence, law enforcement, and competitive analysis. With the integration of artificial intelligence (AI), OSINT data collection has become more efficient, precise, and automated than ever before. AI-powered tools can scan massive datasets, extract actionable insights, and automate intelligence gathering, reducing human effort while increasing accuracy.

From automated web crawlers to AI-driven social media analysis, facial recognition, NLP-based intelligence gathering, and deepfake detection, AI is changing the landscape of OSINT investigations.

This blog explores the best AI tools for OSINT in 2025, their functionalities, and how they assist intelligence professionals in gathering and analyzing open-source data.

What is OSINT and Why is AI Important?

Understanding OSINT

OSINT (Open-Source Intelligence) involves collecting and analyzing publicly available data from multiple sources, including:

  • Social media platforms such as Facebook, Twitter, and LinkedIn
  • News websites, blogs, and discussion forums
  • Government databases and public records
  • The dark web and underground marketplaces
  • Financial reports, leaked datasets, and corporate disclosures

How AI Enhances OSINT

AI-driven OSINT tools offer several advantages:

  • Automated data collection from multiple sources, eliminating manual effort
  • Pattern recognition and trend analysis in large datasets
  • Fact-checking and misinformation detection
  • Image, video, and voice analysis for intelligence gathering
  • Deepfake detection and cybersecurity threat monitoring

AI significantly improves the speed, accuracy, and efficiency of OSINT investigations, helping professionals track threats, verify sources, and extract intelligence with minimal human intervention.

Best AI Tools for OSINT Data Gathering in 2025

1. Maltego – AI-Powered Network Analysis

Maltego is one of the most advanced AI-driven OSINT tools for intelligence gathering and digital forensics.

  • Uses machine learning (ML) to map relationships between individuals, organizations, and domains
  • Automates data collection from public and private OSINT sources
  • Commonly used by cybersecurity professionals, law enforcement, and journalists

2. OSINT Framework – AI-Enhanced Data Discovery

OSINT Framework is an open-source intelligence tool that integrates AI for advanced data discovery.

  • Uses AI-driven NLP (Natural Language Processing) to extract relevant intelligence
  • Automates deep and surface web searches
  • Detects misinformation, security threats, and cyber risks

3. Shodan – AI-Based Internet Reconnaissance

Shodan is known as the "Google for hackers," allowing OSINT professionals to scan and track internet-connected devices.

  • AI-enhanced risk analysis for IoT devices
  • Automated vulnerability detection for cybersecurity audits
  • Used by ethical hackers and penetration testers

4. SpiderFoot – AI-Powered Digital Footprint Analysis

SpiderFoot is an automated OSINT tool designed to analyze an individual's or organization’s online footprint.

  • AI-driven data correlation from social media, domains, and leaked data
  • Identifies security vulnerabilities, compromised credentials, and personal data leaks
  • Used for cybersecurity threat assessments

5. Google Dorking – AI-Assisted Advanced Search

Google Dorking leverages AI to extract hidden data from search engines.

  • Uses AI-based search queries to find exposed sensitive information
  • Identifies unsecured databases, login portals, and forgotten web pages
  • Commonly used by ethical hackers and security researchers

6. Social-Searcher – AI for Social Media Intelligence

Social-Searcher is an AI-powered social media OSINT tool used for tracking online activities.

  • Monitors public conversations, hashtags, and mentions across platforms
  • Uses sentiment analysis and behavioral tracking for intelligence gathering
  • Helpful for brand monitoring, law enforcement, and crisis management

How AI Improves OSINT Investigations

  • Automates Data Collection – AI eliminates manual effort in searching and filtering large volumes of data.
  • Enhances Threat Detection – AI detects cyber threats, scams, and fraud attempts in real-time.
  • Increases Accuracy – AI-powered NLP can analyze text, speech, and images with minimal errors.
  • Reduces False Positives – AI helps distinguish between real threats and false alarms.
  • Improves Decision-Making – AI-driven analytics provide actionable intelligence to professionals.

Challenges of AI in OSINT

Despite its advantages, AI-based OSINT tools face some challenges:

  • False Information & Deepfakes – AI struggles to differentiate between real and AI-generated misinformation.
  • Ethical Concerns & Privacy Issues – Using AI for surveillance and intelligence gathering raises legal and ethical concerns.
  • Data Overload – AI may collect too much data, making analysis complex without proper filtering.
  • Dependence on AI Accuracy – AI models require continuous updates to remain effective against evolving threats.

The Future of AI in OSINT

The future of AI in OSINT is expected to include:

  • Advanced AI-Powered Facial Recognition for identity verification
  • Autonomous AI Agents for deepfake detection and real-time intelligence gathering
  • Blockchain-Based OSINT for securing data integrity and verification
  • AI-Generated Threat Intelligence Reports for rapid decision-making

As AI technology continues to evolve, OSINT professionals will rely more on AI-driven automation, predictive analysis, and deep learning models to gather intelligence effectively.

Conclusion

AI-powered OSINT tools are reshaping the way intelligence is gathered and analyzed in 2025. From automated social media monitoring to advanced data discovery and digital footprint tracking, AI helps professionals detect threats, verify information, and uncover hidden intelligence efficiently.

While AI brings speed, scalability, and precision to OSINT, it is not without challenges. Ethical considerations, misinformation detection, and AI model accuracy remain critical concerns.

For organizations and cybersecurity professionals, leveraging AI-powered OSINT tools is no longer optional—it is essential for staying ahead in the intelligence and cybersecurity landscape.

FAQs

What is OSINT, and how does AI improve it?

OSINT (Open-Source Intelligence) involves collecting publicly available information for intelligence and security purposes. AI enhances OSINT by automating data collection, analyzing patterns, and improving threat detection accuracy.

Which are the best AI-powered OSINT tools in 2025?

Some of the top AI-driven OSINT tools include Maltego, Shodan, SpiderFoot, Social-Searcher, Google Dorking, and OSINT Framework, each specializing in different aspects of intelligence gathering.

How does AI automate OSINT data collection?

AI uses web crawlers, machine learning algorithms, and data mining techniques to scan, extract, and analyze large amounts of publicly available information.

Can AI detect deepfakes and misinformation in OSINT?

Yes, AI-powered tools can detect deepfakes and misinformation by analyzing synthetic media patterns, facial recognition inconsistencies, and AI-generated text anomalies.

How does AI assist in cybersecurity OSINT?

AI helps in cybersecurity OSINT by identifying vulnerabilities, monitoring cyber threats, detecting phishing attempts, and analyzing hacker activities on dark web forums.

What role does NLP play in OSINT investigations?

Natural Language Processing (NLP) enables AI to extract intelligence from text-based sources, such as news articles, social media posts, and leaked documents.

Can AI track individuals and organizations through OSINT?

Yes, AI-powered OSINT tools can analyze digital footprints, social media activity, and network connections to track individuals and organizations.

What are the ethical concerns of AI in OSINT?

AI-driven OSINT raises ethical concerns related to privacy, mass surveillance, data misuse, and the potential for AI-generated disinformation.

Is AI-powered OSINT legal?

AI-powered OSINT is legal if used for ethical investigations, cybersecurity, and law enforcement purposes, but unauthorized surveillance and data scraping may violate regulations.

How does AI-powered OSINT help in law enforcement?

Law enforcement agencies use AI for crime investigation, tracking suspects, detecting fraud, and identifying cyber threats.

What is Google Dorking, and how does AI enhance it?

Google Dorking is an advanced search technique used to find hidden online data. AI enhances Google Dorking by automating queries and detecting exposed sensitive information.

Can AI detect fake social media accounts in OSINT investigations?

Yes, AI analyzes account activity, language patterns, and metadata to identify fake profiles, bots, and coordinated misinformation campaigns.

How does AI detect cyber threats using OSINT?

AI scans dark web forums, security reports, and hacker discussions to predict and prevent potential cyberattacks.

What are the challenges of using AI for OSINT?

Challenges include data accuracy issues, ethical concerns, AI model biases, reliance on public data, and difficulties in detecting sophisticated deepfakes.

Can AI identify security vulnerabilities through OSINT?

Yes, AI-powered tools like Shodan and SpiderFoot scan exposed devices, open ports, and unprotected servers to identify security risks.

How is machine learning applied in OSINT?

Machine learning in OSINT is used for pattern recognition, behavior analysis, anomaly detection, and automated intelligence reporting.

How does AI enhance social media intelligence gathering?

AI tracks trending topics, sentiment analysis, fake news detection, and user behavior monitoring across multiple platforms.

Can AI OSINT tools access the dark web?

Yes, some AI-powered OSINT tools scan dark web marketplaces and forums for leaked credentials, cybercrime discussions, and emerging threats.

What industries benefit from AI-powered OSINT?

Industries such as cybersecurity, law enforcement, corporate security, journalism, and competitive intelligence benefit from AI-driven OSINT solutions.

How does AI identify misinformation in OSINT data?

AI uses fact-checking databases, linguistic analysis, and AI-generated content detection to verify the authenticity of information.

Is AI OSINT useful for financial fraud detection?

Yes, AI detects fraudulent financial transactions, insider trading, and money laundering schemes by analyzing public financial records and market data.

What role does facial recognition play in AI-driven OSINT?

Facial recognition AI helps identify individuals in public images, security footage, and social media platforms, aiding in investigations.

How does AI contribute to open-source cyber threat intelligence?

AI enhances cyber threat intelligence by analyzing malware reports, hacker activities, and vulnerability disclosures from public sources.

Can AI predict future cyber threats using OSINT?

Yes, AI uses predictive analytics and historical data patterns to forecast potential cyber threats and attack trends.

What is the difference between AI-driven OSINT and traditional OSINT?

Traditional OSINT relies on manual searches and human analysis, while AI-driven OSINT automates data collection, enhances accuracy, and processes large datasets faster.

Can AI-powered OSINT be used for competitive intelligence?

Yes, businesses use AI OSINT to monitor competitor strategies, market trends, brand mentions, and industry news.

How does AI help journalists and researchers with OSINT?

AI assists journalists and researchers by fact-checking sources, analyzing large volumes of public records, and detecting fake news.

What are the future trends in AI for OSINT?

Future trends include AI-powered deepfake detection, blockchain-integrated OSINT, automated misinformation tracking, and AI-driven risk assessments.

Should organizations invest in AI-powered OSINT tools?

Yes, organizations should invest in AI-driven OSINT tools to enhance security, improve threat intelligence, and gain valuable insights for decision-making.

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Opinion | The Two Faces of Azerbaijan’s Mr. Aliyev

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Trump and Zelenskiy meet one-on-one in Vatican basilica to seek Ukraine peace

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  • Summary
  • Meeting was before the funeral of Pope Francis
  • Zelenskiy says discussion could prove historic
  • It was their first encounter since Oval Office shouting match
  • After meeting, Trump takes tough tone in post about Putin
  • Ceasefire talks in the Russian war in Ukraine at critical phase

VATICAN CITY, April 26 (Reuters) - U.S. President Donald Trump and Ukrainian leader Volodymyr Zelenskiy, in Rome for the funeral of Pope Francis, met one-on-one in a marble-lined Vatican basilica on Saturday to try to revive faltering efforts to end Russia's war with Ukraine.

Zelenskiy said the meeting could prove historic if it delivers the kind of peace he is hoping for, and a White House spokesman called it "very productive".

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The two leaders, leaning in close to each other with no aides around them while seated in St Peter's Basilica, spoke for about 15 minutes, according to Zelenskiy's office, and images of the meeting released by Kyiv and Washington.

The meeting at the Vatican, their first since an angry encounter in the Oval Office in Washington in February, comes at a critical time in negotiations aimed at bringing an end to fighting between Ukraine and Russia.

After Pope Francis's funeral service, Trump boarded Air Force One and departed Rome. While in the air he published a social media post in which he took a tough tone on Russian President Vladimir Putin.

"There was no reason for Putin to be shooting missiles into civilian areas, cities and towns, over the last few days," Trump posted on Truth Social. Twelve people were killed on Thursday when a missile fired by Russia hit a Kyiv apartment block.

"It makes me think that maybe he doesn’t want to stop the war, he's just tapping me along, and has to be dealt with differently, through 'Banking' or 'Secondary Sanctions?' Too many people are dying!!!" Trump wrote.

Trump's post was a departure from his usual rhetoric which has seen the toughest criticism directed at Zelenskiy, while he has spoken positively about Putin.

In a post on social media platform Telegram, Zelenskiy wrote: "Good meeting. One-on-one, we managed to discuss a lot. We hope for a result from all the things that were spoken about."

He said those topics included: "The protection of the lives of our people. A complete and unconditional ceasefire. A reliable and lasting peace that will prevent a recurrence of war."

Zelenskiy added: "It was a very symbolic meeting that has the potential to become historic if we achieve joint results. Thank you, President Donald Trump!"

NO AIDES IN SIGHT

In one photograph released by Zelenskiy's office, the Ukrainian and U.S. leaders sat opposite each other in a hall of the basilica, around two feet apart, and were leaning in towards each other in conversation. No aides could be seen in the image.

In a second photograph, from the same location, Zelenskiy, Trump, British Prime Minister Keir Starmer and French President Emmanuel Macron were shown standing in a tight huddle. Macron had his hand on Zelenskiy's shoulder.

After Trump and Zelenskiy met in the basilica, the two men joined other world leaders outside in Saint Peter's Square at the funeral service for Pope Francis, who made the pursuit of peace, including in Ukraine, a motif of his papacy.

Italian Cardinal Giovanni Battista Re, who gave the sermon at the funeral service, recalled how Pope Francis did not stop raising his voice to call for negotiations to end conflicts.

"War always leaves the world worse than it was before: it is always a painful and tragic defeat for everyone," the cardinal said.

DIFFERENCES OVER TERRITORY

Trump has been pressing both Moscow and Kyiv to agree a ceasefire and peace deal. He had previously warned his administration would walk away from its efforts to achieve a peace if the two sides do not agree a deal soon.

After a round of shuttle diplomacy this week, differences have emerged between the position of the Trump White House on peace talks and the stance of Ukraine and its European allies, according to documents from the talks obtained by Reuters.

Washington is proposing a legal recognition that Crimea, the Ukrainian peninsula annexed by Moscow in 2014, is Russian territory, something that Kyiv and its allies in Europe say is a red line they will not cross.

There are also differences on how quickly sanctions on Russia would be lifted if a peace deal was signed, what kind of security guarantees Ukraine would have, and how Ukraine would be financially compensated.

Trump and Zelenskiy have had a rocky personal relationship. At their Oval Office meeting, Trump accused the Ukrainian leader of "gambling with World War Three".

Since then, Kyiv has tried to repair relations, but the barbs have continued. Zelenskiy has said Trump was trapped in a "disinformation bubble" that favoured Moscow, while the U.S. leader accused Zelenskiy of foot-dragging on a peace deal and making "inflammatory" statements.

But the two men need each other. Trump requires Zelenskiy's buy-in to achieve his stated ambition of bringing a swift peace between Russia and Ukraine, while Kyiv needs Trump to pressure Moscow into diluting some of the more onerous conditions it has set for a truce.

At the Oval Office meeting in February, a reporter who was present from a conservative U.S. news network accused Zelenskiy of disrespecting the occasion by not wearing a suit.

Zelenskiy, since the start of Russia's full-scale invasion in 2022, has eschewed suits in favour of military-style attire, saying it is his way of showing solidarity with his countryman fighting to defend Ukraine.

In Rome on Saturday, Zelenskiy again decided against a suit, and instead wore a dark shirt, buttoned up to the neck with no tie, and wore a dark military-style jacket over the top of that.

Reporting by Steve Holland and Angelo Amante; Additional reporting by Christian Lowe and Andrii Pryimachenko in Kyiv and Alistair Smout in London; Writing by Christian Lowe; Editing by Alexandra Hudson

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Ukraine hit by another night of deadly Russian strikes despite Trump’s ‘Vladimir, STOP!’ plea | CNN

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CNN  — 

Moscow has inflicted another round of deadly strikes on Ukraine despite US President Donald Trump’s plea for Russian President Vladimir Putin to “STOP!” attacking its neighbor.

At least eight people were killed in drone strikes across the country, a night after Russia launched its deadliest bombardment of Ukraine since the middle of last year.

A drone attack on the eastern city of Pavlohrad on Friday killed three people, including a 76-year-old woman and a child, and injured 10 others, Dnipropetrovsk Governor Serhiy Lysak said.

In southern Ukraine, two people were also killed in strikes on Kherson, the region’s governor, Oleksandr Prokudin, said, adding the strikes targeted critical infrastructure and residential buildings. Two more people died in attacks on Ukraine’s eastern Donetsk region, and one person was killed in Kharkiv in the northeast of the country, regional leaders said.

Ukraine’s capital Kyiv was the main target of Russia’s massive bombardment on Thursday, which hit several locations across the city, killing 12 people and wounding 87 others. Ukraine’s emergency services said on Friday that it had completed the search for survivors in the rubble of one residential block, hit by what Ukrainian authorities said was a North Korean ballistic missile.

The fresh round of attacks come after President Trump vented his frustration over the lack of progress on a peace deal on Thursday, saying he is “not happy” and urging Putin to “STOP!” the attacks, in a post on his Truth Social platform. Hours later, however, Trump said he believed both Russia and Ukraine want peace.

On Friday, Trump’s special envoy Steve Witkoff is expected to arrive in Moscow for further talks with Putin on reaching an agreement.

Russia’s Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov said Moscow was “ready to reach a deal,” in an interview with CBS News on Thursday, but added that there were still some specific points that needed to be “fine-tuned.”

Earlier this week, Trump launched a new tirade against Ukraine’s President Volodymyr Zelensky, accusing him of harming peace negotiations, after Zelensky said it was against his country’s constitution to recognize Russian control of Crimea, which was illegally annexed by Russia in 2014.

Any move to recognize Russia’s control of Crimea would reverse a decade of US policy and could upset the widely held post-World War Two consensus that international borders should not be changed by force.

As part of its mission to seal a peace deal to end the three-year war, the US administration has proposed recognizing Crimea as part of Russia, a move which diplomatic sources have told CNN has highly alarmed US allies in Europe.

The spat over Crimea is the latest in a series of very public disagreements between Trump and Zelensky.

Trump has insisted he has been equally as tough on Putin, but got defensive on Thursday when asked by White House reporters what concessions Russia had made in the conflict.

“Stopping the war, stopping taking the whole country. Pretty big concession,” Trump said.

“We’re putting a lot of pressure on Russia, and Russia knows that, and some people that are close to it know or he wouldn’t be talking right now.”

Jennifer Hansler, Alex Marquardt and Kylie Atwood contributed reporting

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Hundreds of scholars say U.S. is swiftly heading toward authoritarianism

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U.S. President-elect Donald Trump looks on during Turning Point USA's AmericaFest at the Phoenix Convention Center on Dec. 22, 2024, in Phoenix. The annual four day conference geared toward energizing and connecting conservative youth hosts some of the country's leading conservative politicians and activists. Rebecca Noble/Getty Images hide caption

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WASHINGTON — A survey of more than 500 political scientists finds that the vast majority think the United States is moving swiftly from liberal democracy toward some form of authoritarianism.

In the benchmark survey, known as Bright Line Watch, U.S.-based professors rate the performance of American democracy on a scale from zero (complete dictatorship) to 100 (perfect democracy). After President Trump's election in November, scholars gave American democracy a rating of 67. Several weeks into Trump's second term, that figure plummeted to 55.

"That's a precipitous drop," says John Carey, a professor of government at Dartmouth and co-director of Bright Line Watch. "There's certainly consensus: We're moving in the wrong direction."

Carey said the decline between November and February was the biggest since Bright Line Watch began surveying scholars on threats to American democracy in 2017. In the survey, respondents consider 30 indicators of democratic performance, including whether the government interferes with the press, punishes political opponents and whether the legislature and the judiciary can check executive authority.

Not all political scientists view Trump with alarm, but many like Carey who focus on democracy and authoritarianism are deeply troubled by Trump's attempts to expand executive power over his first several months in office.

"We've slid into some form of authoritarianism," says Steven Levitsky, a professor of government at Harvard, and co-author of How Democracies Die. "It is relatively mild compared to some others. It is certainly reversible, but we are no longer living in a liberal democracy."

Protesters wave Turkish flags in front of the New Mosque in Istanbul. Despite a government protest ban, mass demonstrations erupted nationwide following the arrest of Istanbul Mayor Ekrem Imamoglu on corruption charges, with crowds demanding democracy and chanting "people, rights, justice." Scholars of democracy view Turkey as a competitive authoritarian regime in which the ruling party uses institutions such as the courts to attack their political opponents. Su Cassiano/Middle East Images/AFP via Getty hide caption

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Su Cassiano/Middle East Images/AFP via Getty

Kim Lane Scheppele, a Princeton sociologist who has spent years tracking Hungary, is also deeply concerned: "We are on a very fast slide into what's called competitive authoritarianism."

When these scholars use the term "authoritarianism," they aren't talking about a system like China's, a one-party state with no meaningful elections. Instead, they are referring to something called "competitive authoritarianism," the kind scholars say they see in countries such as Hungary and Turkey.

In a competitive authoritarian system, a leader comes to power democratically and then erodes the system of checks and balances. Typically, the executive fills the civil service and key appointments — including the prosecutor's office and judiciary — with loyalists. He or she then attacks the media, universities and nongovernmental organizations to blunt public criticism and tilt the electoral playing field in the ruling party's favor.

"The government would still have elections and would nominally be democratic," says Rory Truex, a political scientist at Princeton who focuses on China. "But those elections would no longer be free and fair."

A man walks next to a graffiti with the image of the late Venezuelan President Hugo Chávez in Caracas. Political scientists say that President Trump does not enjoy the huge popular support that leaders like Chávez harnessed to dominate their nation's political systems. Raul Arboleda/AFP via Getty Images hide caption

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Raul Arboleda/AFP via Getty Images

While the vast majority of scholars surveyed say Trump is pushing the country toward autocracy, other professors strongly disagree. James Campbell, a retired political scientist at the University at Buffalo, SUNY, says Trump is using legitimate presidential powers to address long-standing problems. Campbell points to Trump's use of tariffs to try to push companies to bring manufacturing jobs back to the United States. In recent decades, economic globalization led to catastrophic layoffs of everyone from furniture makers in North Carolina to auto assembly-line workers in the Midwest as firms sent work overseas, especially to China.

"I think they've done an excellent job," Campbell says of the Trump administration.

Campbell adds that he thinks many political scientists may see Trump as autocratic because they don't like him or his politics.

"I think most of them are coming from the political left," he says. "There's a comfort in all of them getting together and saying, 'Oh, Trump's a bad guy. He's authoritarian.' "

NPR reached out to the Trump administration, which has yet to respond.

President Trump has spoken admiringly of Hungary's Prime Minister Viktor Orbán. U.S. scholars of democracy say Orbán has used various tactics, including stocking state agencies with loyalists and attacking media business models, to turn Hungary into a competitive authoritarian state. Under competitive authoritarianism, there are still elections, but the playing field is tilted in favor of the ruling party. Attila Kisbenedek/AFP via Getty Images hide caption

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Attila Kisbenedek/AFP via Getty Images

But many democracy scholars say the Trump administration is using tactics employed by autocrats, and they point to specific actions. For instance, Trump's Federal Communications Commission (FCC) is investigating all the major broadcast outlets — except for Rupert Murdoch's Fox, which owns the pro-Trump Fox News Channel.

The FCC is questioning how CBS edited an interview of Trump's 2024 rival, Kamala Harris, and whether NPR and PBS are complying with regulations on corporate underwriting spots. The FCC can revoke local broadcast licenses, which could damage the networks financially.

Princeton's Scheppele says this is reminiscent of Hungary under Prime Minister Viktor Orbán. Orbán took aim at the business model of Hungarian media, which heavily relied on state advertising.

"Overnight, [Orbán] cuts all the advertising to the independent and opposition media," Scheppele says. "They all have a hole blown in their budget."

In another example, Trump has withheld or threatened to withhold billions of dollars from universities, including Harvard, Princeton and Columbia, citing concerns about antisemitism. Scheppele says Orbán also targeted universities that had been critical of his government.

"In the first two years, Orbán cut the university budgets by 40%," she says.

Another way to measure authoritarianism, according to Levitsky, is whether publicly opposing the government comes with a cost. He says — under Trump — it does. For instance, Trump has issued executive orders barring lawyers with firms he doesn't like from entering government buildings and representing government contractors.

Fear of government retribution is now spreading through society. A scholar who spoke to NPR for this story later asked not to be quoted, saying he feared the Trump administration might try to punish him by slashing research grants he's working on. In a recent NPR series on free speech, many people did not want to be identified by name.

Teachers, students and their sympathizers protest in central Budapest following a government-mandated "smartphone ban" in schools that was signed by nationalist Prime Minister Viktor Orbán. Attila Kisbenedek/AFP via Getty Images hide caption

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Attila Kisbenedek/AFP via Getty Images

But even some scholars who say Trump has autocratic tendencies think the American system should be able to withstand them.

Kurt Weyland, a political scientist at the University of Texas at Austin, says that so far the lower courts are checking Trump. He also says Trump does not have the overwhelming popular support that autocratic leaders such as Venezuela's Hugo Chávez and El Salvador's Nayib Bukele enjoyed and that was crucial to their ability to change their country's political systems.

For instance, Bukele, who met with Trump at the White House last week, has seen approval ratings over 90% and won reelection last year by a landslide. By contrast, a recent poll showed Trump's approval rating falling to 43% and he was reelected with just under half the popular vote.

"These populist leaders managed to engineer new constitutions that seriously concentrated power and that were the breakpoint that put those countries on the path toward competitive authoritarian rule," says Weyland, who wrote Democracy's Resilience to Populism's Threat: Countering Global Alarmism. "In the United States, that is out of the question."

Bright Line Watch conducted its survey in early February. It plans to put another in the field soon. Carey, one of the co-directors, expects political scientists to downgrade America's democracy even further.

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Azerbaijan : Baku's masterminds tracking down opponents abroad - 08/03/2024 - Intelligence Online

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